Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Weather forecast

“Partly cloudy. Possibility of rain/thundershowers likely”

Looks familiar? Has to be. This is the weather forecast published in the newspaper I subscribe.

Considering the fact that we are going thru’ the rainy season, I find this “forecast” very interesting. The message (and most of the time, the sentence too) remains the same day after day. I have never seen such a reliable forecast.

PS: I believe that the Monsoon arrival prediction by our Meteorological department has a standard deviation of 7 days. That means, monsoon is almost certain to arrive within +/- 21 days of the prediction. Who needs anything better?
Identification of a cyclone from the satellite image is child’s play. Do we really need a separate department to do that?

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